Sector picking

Does the Image-Based Industry Classification Outperform?

18.February 2025

For decades, investors and analysts have relied on traditional industry classifications like GICS, NAICS, or SIC to group companies into sectors and peer groups. However, these rigid categorizations often fail to capture the evolving nature of businesses, especially in an era of technological convergence and rapid industry shifts. Machine learning (ML) offers a more dynamic and data-driven alternative by analyzing company visuals—such as logos, product images, and branding elements—to identify similarities that go beyond predefined classifications. A recent study applies this approach to construct new industry groupings and tests them in industry momentum and reversal. The results show that ML-generated groups lead to superior performance, once again highlighting the potential of image-based classification in financial analysis.

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Front-Running Seasonality in US Stock Sectors

19.December 2024

Seasonality plays a significant role in financial markets and has become an essential concept for both practitioners and researchers. This phenomenon is particularly prominent in commodities, where natural cycles like weather or harvest periods directly affect supply and demand, leading to predictable price movements. However, seasonality also plays a role in equity markets, influencing stock prices based on recurring calendar patterns, such as month-end effects or holiday periods. Recognizing these patterns can provide investors with an edge by identifying windows of opportunity or risk in their investment strategies.

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How to Improve ETF Sector Momentum

10.October 2024

In this article, we explore the historical performance of sector momentum strategies and examine how their alpha has diminished over time. By analyzing the underlying causes behind this decline, we identify key factors contributing to the underperformance. Most importantly, we introduce an enhanced approach to sector momentum, demonstrating how this solution significantly improves the performance of an ETF sector momentum strategy, making it once again an effective tool for systematic investors.

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Why Naively Pursuing Premiums at the Industry and Country Levels Often Does Not Add Value

28.June 2023

Sector/industry picking or country picking can be a profitable trading style but is usually much more challenging than it seems at first sight. Building a good trading model requires a lot of research and dedication. Unfortunately, due to the limited numbers of industries and countries, sorting them on aggregate characteristics can wash out important cross-sectional variations in the characteristics and lead to concentrated portfolios prone to noisier realized returns.

In their fresh Dimensional Fund Advisors research piece, Dong, Huang, and Medhat (2023) touch on the question of whether investors should systematically emphasize certain industries or countries to increase expected returns. Their overhead view provides new insights and sums that investors will likely be better off pursuing premiums in the larger cross-section of individual securities and maintaining broad diversification across the smaller cross-sections of industries and countries.

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Should Factor Investors Neutralize the Sector Exposure?

8.February 2022

Factor investors face numerous choices that do not end even after picking the set of factors. For instance, should they neutralize the factor exposure? If the investor pursues sector neutralization, does the decision depend on a particular factor? Or are the choices different for the long-only investor compared to the long-short investor? The research paper by Ehsani, Harvey, and Li (2021) answers these questions and provides investors with an interesting insight on this topic.

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Quality Factor in Sector Investing

14.January 2022

The critical question of this research is to examine whether the quality factor could be found in the aggregated groups of similar stocks such as industries or sectors. Additionally, instead of constructing a comprehensive quality metric like other papers, we examine the individual ratios aggregated to the whole sector. The aim is to investigate the fundamental ratios on which quality is based rather than the composite quality score of sectors.

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