Tech stocks

Timing Value vs. Growth: Evidence from 100 Years of Small Value–Large Growth Spread

18.March 2026

The goal of our article is to examine the long-term relationship between small value and large growth stocks using more than 100 years of data and test whether the spread between small value and large growth portfolios shows trends that could help investors switch between the two styles. Using the Fama and French 2×3 and 5×5 size and book-to-market portfolios, we construct the small value minus large growth (SV–LG) spread and apply simple trend-following signals based on moving averages and momentum with horizons ranging from 3 to 12 months. Our results show that trend-following strategies are able to capture part of the value outperformance on the long side. Timing periods when growth stocks dominate is much more difficult.

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An Empirical Analysis of Conference-Driven Return Drift in Tech Stocks

30.June 2025

Corporate conferences have long been recognized as pivotal events in financial markets, serving as catalysts that signal upcoming innovations and strategic shifts. Scheduled corporate events induce market reactions that can be systematically analyzed to reveal predictable return patterns. In this work, we focus on examining the return drift exhibited by technology stocks in the days surrounding their respective conferences, employing simple quantitative methods with daily price data.

The hypothesized return drift is premised on the notion that investor sentiment and market dynamics are significantly altered by the information disseminated at these conferences. Investors, reacting to both anticipatory signals and post-announcement adjustments, tend to drive prices in a measurable manner in the windows immediately preceding, during, and after the events. By systematically analyzing stocks of companies such as Apple, Google, and Microsoft, this study aims to validate the existence of these drift patterns and shed light on the underlying mechanisms, thereby enhancing mutual understanding of event-driven asset pricing dynamics.

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