Machine learning

An Introduction to Machine Learning Research Related to Quantitative Trading

26.September 2023

Following the recent release of the popular large language model ChatGPT, the topic of machine learning and AI seems to have skyrocketed in popularity. The concept of machine learning is, however, a much older one and has been the topic of various research and technology projects over the last decade and even longer. In this article, we would like to discuss what machine learning is, how it can be used in quantitative trading, and how has the popularity of ML strategies increased over the years.

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Exploring the Factor Zoo with a Machine-Learning Portfolio

3.August 2023

The latest paper by Sak, H. and Chang, M. T., and Huang, T. delves into the world of financial anomalies, exploring the rise and fall of characteristics in what researchers refer to as the “factor zoo.” While significant research effort is devoted to discovering new anomalies, the study highlights the lack of attention given to the evolution of these characteristics over time. By leveraging machine learning (ML) techniques, the paper conducts a comprehensive out-of-sample factor zoo analysis, seeking to uncover the underlying factors driving stock returns. The researchers train ML models on a vast database of firm and trading characteristics, generating a diverse range of linear and non-linear factor structures. The ML portfolio formed based on these findings outperforms entrenched factor models, presenting a novel approach to understanding financial anomalies. Notably, the paper identifies two subsets of dominant characteristics – one related to investor-level arbitrage constraint and the other to firm-level financial constraint – which alternately play a significant role in generating the ML portfolio return.

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BERT Model – Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers

12.April 2023

At the end of 2018, researchers at Google AI Language made a significant breakthrough in the Deep Learning community. The new technique for Natural Language Processing (NLP) called BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) was open-sourced. An incredible performance of the BERT algorithm is very impressive. BERT is probably going to be around for a long time. Therefore, it is useful to go through the basics of this remarkable part of the Deep Learning algorithm family.

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Can We Backtest Asset Allocation Trading Strategy in ChatGPT?

31.March 2023

It’s always fun to push the boundaries of technology and see what it can do. The AI chatbots are the hot topic of current discussion in the quant blogosphere. So we have decided to test OpenAI’s ChatGPT abilities. Will we persuade it to become a data analyst for us? While we may not be there yet, it’s clear that AI language models like ChatGPT can soon revolutionize how we approach to finance and data analysis.

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Which Factors Drive the Hedge Fund Returns: A Machine Learning Approach

10.March 2023

Arbitrage is a central concept in finance. It is defined as simultaneous long and short positions in similar assets to exploit mispricing. Hedge funds experienced fast growth over the past three decades, as real-world arbitrageurs as a group. As they increasingly influence the financial market, it is important to understand the economic drivers of hedge fund returns. Therefore we would like to present a paper dealing with the development of a parsimonious factor model, based on anomalies, to explain hedge fund returns.

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Is There Any Hidden Information in Annual Reports’ Images?

29.March 2022

Can the number or type of images in a firm’s annual report tell us anything about the firm? Or is it just a marketing strategy that doesn’t hold any further information? With the help of novel machine learning techniques, the authors Azi Ben-Rephael, Joshua Ronen, Tavy Ronen, and Mi Zhou study this problem in their paper “Do Images Provide Relevant Information to Investors? An Exploratory Study”. It seems that the proposed metrics help to forecast some of the firms’ fundamental ratios.

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    The Encyclopedia of Quantitative Trading Strategies

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