A Simple Approach to Market-Timing Strategy Replication

11.November 2022

In previous articles, we discussed the ideas behind portfolio replication with market factors. However, overall robustness of the results suffers significantly if the model portfolio or trading strategy we attempt to synthetize is driven by a market-timing model. We do not know the rules driving the underlying strategy we could apply ourselves beforehand. Furthermore, there is no simple mechanism of market-timing rule detection we could potentially utilize in our regression model. Hypothetically, we could include a variety of market-timing strategies into the factor universe. But since there are countless market-timing methods, covering everything is simply unrealistic. Particularly in context of historic factor universe construction. In an attempt to capture the effects of underlying timing rules, we came up with a simple approach to address this problem to a somewhat satisfactory extent.

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Quantpedia in October 2022 – the 100-Year Portfolio Analysis Report

7.November 2022

Hello all,

What have we accomplished in the last month?

– One new Quantpedia Pro report – the 100-Year Portfolio Analysis
– 11 new Quantpedia Premium strategies have been added to our database
– 11 new related research papers have been included in existing Premium strategies during the last month
– Additionally, we have produced 9 new backtests written in QuantConnect code
– And finally, 3+3 new blog posts that you may find interesting have been published on our Quantpedia blog in the previous month

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How to Replicate Any Portfolio

2.November 2022

Would you like to see the performance of your portfolio 100 years back in history? Do you want to analyze the risk of your strategy under 100 years of real historical scenarios? All of these, and much more, will be soon (in a few days) available for Quantpedia Pro subscribers. How? We will explain today how we can model a 100-year history of your portfolio.

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Introducing Quantpedia Answers

26.October 2022

Approximately 18 months ago, when we started Quantpedia Pro service, we promised to systematically expand its analytical capabilities by adding new tools and reports to it. We kept this promise and enlarged Quantpedia Pro to over 30 reports with hundreds of tables and charts. Factor regression analysis, risk scenarios, seasonality analysis, alternative weighting schemes, risk parity, CPPI, volatility targeting, correlation analysis, Markowitz portfolio optimization, clustering, market phases analysis, ETF replication etc. offer insight into the matters of portfolio construction or risk management. But our disciplined tempo also means that some users can become lost in the number of tools Quantpedia Pro offers. Therefore, we would like to introduce to you our new Quantpedia Answers section, which contains practical examples of how to use the growing capabilities of Quantpedia Pro reporting.

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The Role of Interest Rates in Factor Discovery

24.October 2022

Over the past several decades, economists and quantitative scientists found a very large number of asset pricing anomalies and published numerous research papers about their findings, and this is known in the financial jargon as “factor zoo.” However, one strong underlying force might drive the performance of many of those anomalies. What’s that force? The level and trend in the interest rates, as in almost all parts of the developed world, there was a long-term steady decline in rates and inflation for nearly 40 years. We use the past tense as it seems that the situation changed at the beginning of this year…

Van Binsbergen, Jules H. and Ma, Liang and Schwert, Michael (Sep 2022) touched on this subject and made a careful examination of both past factor research and found that a significant part of published papers and developed models are sometimes unknowingly exposed to fitting to low or even zero interest rates.

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Stock-Bond Correlation, an In-Depth Look

19.October 2022

The recent surge in global inflation sent shock waves across financial markets and affected the complicated relationship between stocks and bonds. Today, we would like to present you with a review of two interesting papers, which provide both a deep and easy-to-understand examination of the correlation structure of those two main asset classes. The first paper reviews specifics in various parts of the world, and the second one summarizes known information about the macroeconomic drivers of the US stock-bond correlation.

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